Poisson Model

Corner Probability Calculator

Models the total number of corner kicks per match as a poisson process. Adjust the expected average and the corner threshold to calculate the exact probability of an over or under outcome .

Parameters
adjust the input parameters to analyse a specific football match or competition.

P(corner < 15) —
P(corner ≥ 15) —
expected corners —
Over / Under Split
total probability mass on each side of the threshold.
Complete corner distribution
PMF di Poisson for each possible number of corner (λ = 11).